Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOGE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-13 0.000032 0.000036 0.000041 0.000046 0.000052 0.000059 0.000066
2024-10-20 0.000025 0.000030 0.000037 0.000045 0.000055 0.000066 0.000080
2024-10-27 0.000021 0.000027 0.000035 0.000045 0.000058 0.000074 0.000094
2024-11-03 0.000017 0.000024 0.000033 0.000045 0.000060 0.000080 0.000105
2024-11-10 0.000016 0.000023 0.000033 0.000046 0.000064 0.000088 0.000120
2024-11-17 0.000014 0.000022 0.000032 0.000047 0.000067 0.000095 0.000134
2024-11-24 0.000013 0.000021 0.000031 0.000047 0.000071 0.000102 0.000148
2024-12-01 0.000011 0.000019 0.000030 0.000047 0.000072 0.000107 0.000158
2024-12-08 0.000010 0.000017 0.000029 0.000046 0.000073 0.000111 0.000168
2024-12-15 0.000009 0.000017 0.000028 0.000046 0.000075 0.000117 0.000181
2024-12-22 0.000009 0.000016 0.000028 0.000048 0.000079 0.000126 0.000199
2024-12-29 0.000008 0.000016 0.000028 0.000048 0.000082 0.000132 0.000213
2025-01-05 0.000008 0.000015 0.000028 0.000050 0.000086 0.000141 0.000232
2025-01-12 0.000007 0.000014 0.000026 0.000048 0.000085 0.000144 0.000241
2025-01-19 0.000006 0.000013 0.000026 0.000049 0.000088 0.000151 0.000257
2025-01-26 0.000006 0.000013 0.000025 0.000048 0.000089 0.000155 0.000268
2025-02-02 0.000006 0.000012 0.000025 0.000049 0.000093 0.000164 0.000288
2025-02-09 0.000005 0.000012 0.000025 0.000050 0.000096 0.000173 0.000307
2025-02-16 0.000005 0.000012 0.000025 0.000051 0.000099 0.000181 0.000326
2025-02-23 0.000004 0.000011 0.000024 0.000050 0.000099 0.000185 0.000337
2025-03-02 0.000004 0.000010 0.000023 0.000049 0.000100 0.000188 0.000349
2025-03-09 0.000004 0.000010 0.000023 0.000050 0.000102 0.000195 0.000367
2025-03-16 0.000004 0.000010 0.000023 0.000051 0.000107 0.000207 0.000393